Friday, October 17, 2014

That Was The Week That Was - Issue 32

A look back at the week's health policy news with a focus on ACA implementation

We are now less than a month from Marketplace open enrollment. So in spite of the fact that the media was obsessed with Ebola and decisions the Supreme Court was making without issuing any decisions,  there's still a lot of health policy to talk about. Candidates talking about repealing the ACA, getting ready for the 7 million enrolled in marketplace plans to reenroll, rural ACOs joining the party, Medicare open-enrollment starting and more. So here we go:

ACA: Polls/Opposition
We're in the height of campaign season. That means that candidates say things they know not to be true. So, even though no one thinks the ACA will be repealed, the GOP can’t give up Obamacare repeal talk. Also this week, we saw an actual "replace" plan. Ed Gillespie, Senate candidate in Va., unveils alternative to Affordable Care Act. We won't go into it in detail except to say that it rolls back the Medicaid expansion, eliminates the mandate and subsidies, and provides tax credits instead. In other words, it shifts costs to individuals - regardless of if they can afford it or not. It also lacks the systemic changes designed to actually bring costs down.

At the same time, a new poll about showing that people are still worried about their health care bills. These concerns seem to fall into two categories - those concerned with bills they may need to pay (such as those with a $5,000 deductible) and those who don't understand their coverage, and that they may be better protected than they know. We know that the out-of-pocket maximum still represents a burden to some people - although there is also the concern that some may have been eligible for cost-sharing  help if they had purchased a silver plan instead of something else. Bottom line, the data in this survey highlights the need for better communications, increased health literacy and a review of what is truly affordable:  Poll: Many Insured Struggle With Medical Bills

ACA: Marketplaces
November 15 and the start of the next open-enrollment period is right around the corner. Unlike last year, when until the very last minute we were hearing that everything would be fine, this year the Administration is being a bit more guarded: New strategy: Underselling Obamacare for Year 2. For example, they say the site "will be improved but won't be perfect" and are not releasing any projections for the three month open-enrollment period.

This year's open-enrollment will be fundamentally different because there are two distinct populations: Those enrolling for the first time and those who are back to reenroll - either in the same plan or a new one. This week, CMS kicks off effort to help Marketplace enrollees stay covered (press release). They announced that they were mailing letters (one of six different ones)  to individuals who had already enrolled in a plan and would need to reenroll to continue their coverage. Here is Tim Jost's explaining the process: Implementing Health Reform: Renewing Coverage For 2015

Less traumatic than the five stages of grief CMS provided this outline of 5 steps to staying covered through the Marketplace. The key here is that while most people could be automatically reenrolled in their current plan, it is in the individual's best interest to go back to the marketplace, update their information and compare plans to see if their current plan is the best choice. Along with the brilliant Andrea Irwin, I wrote a blog on the topic for the enroll207 website:  Avoiding "Scandalous" Marketplace pitfalls: put shopping for health insurance at the top of your “to-do” list.

And for another take on how to approach reenrollment, even though it's not Passover, here are 4 questions to ask before renewing health coverage. Finally on this topic, Robert Pear of the NY Times does a good overview piece, even if the headline writer doesn't seem to have read it closely: U.S. Says Consumers Must Renew Health Insurance Policies (you don't have to renew the policy you currently have).


ACA: Employers
A few weeks ago we talked about an online calculator from CMS that seemed to say certain plans without hospital benefits were "credible coverage". Until now CMS has not responded to requests for clarification. But finally, the Administration Signals Doubts About Calculator Permitting Plans Without Hospital Benefits.

A couple of looks at what's happening to employer costs. In the first, Obamacare Refutes Warning of Corporate America Cost Surge - the story reviews some of the dire predictions of what would happen to employer-sponsored coverage and how they have not come to pass. In the second, a look at renewal costs for businesses: Modest Premium Hikes, Higher Consumer Costs Likely For Job-Based Plans


ACA: Premiums
Why are some of the states with the most competitive Senate races seeing the biggest premium spikes?  "... a big factor, according to Levitt, is whether states promoted ACA enrollment and got enough customers to cover the costs of sick people. Louisiana, Iowa and Alaska — all states where the political leaders have been vocally opposed to the health care law — did particularly poorly in enrollment compared to their potential market of customers, he said.  ...   “Iowa is at the bottom of the list. Alaska’s not too far behind, and Louisiana is well below average,” Levitt said. He said Iowa enrollment has likely been hurt by the fact that Wellmark isn’t participating in the health insurance exchange." (An Obamacare October surprise?)

Here is a story that if not for the media being distracted would surely have gotten more national attention. Last year's most successful insurer on the Minnesota Marketplace announced a 63% average increase for individual customers. Once you pick your jaw up off the floor, two important things to keep in mind. 1) Their 2013 premiums were among the lowest in the country (they bought business but couldn't sustain it). 2) They will NOT be selling on the Marketplace in 2015 (so anyone with subsidies was going to be changing insurers anyway (Big jump for PreferredOne premiums).

ACA: Other
Remember the risk corridor payments?  Those are one of the ways that the ACA will smooth the transition for health insurers by spreading the risk of getting "sicker" enrollees among all insurers. Some opponents of the law have called this an "insurer bailout" - even though the idea is that it is merely redistributes the fees paid by the insurers. Opponents have tried to claim that it would require congressional action to make the payments, but that appears not to be necessary: GAO: Administration Can Make Health Reform’s “Risk Corridor” Payments.

Another day, another story about the high cost of prescriptions: Got Insurance? You Still May Pay A Steep Price For Prescriptions. This is what happens when you provide health insurance as opposed to health care - when you are sick, you do need to pay more. At least with the ACA, the amount you pay is capped with the out-of-pocket maximum - which would apply to specialty drugs covered by your plan, regardless of the co-pay. Of course for some, the out-of-pocket maximum of $6,350 is still a problem.

Costs
One of the favorite suggestions of opponents of the law is medical malpractice reform. They seem to think that this (along with selling insurance across state lines, which we won't discuss today) is a magic bullet for lowering costs. Unfortunately, the facts don't back them up as a new study looks at three states that have instituted significant limits on malpractice awards and have not seen the "expected" savings: Study: Don’t expect big health-care savings from medical malpractice reform

Accountable Care Organizations continue to be all the rage. In an attempt to extend the model to more rural areas, a new CMS loan program offers rural providers entry to accountable care. The idea is to provide upfront dollars to help the rural groups afford the infrastructure improvements to allow them to participate in the new model.

Medicaid
Some thoughts on additional states expanding Medicaid: Are Medicaid Boosters Too Optimistic?  The piece asks the question if it's realistic to expect the rest of the states to fall in line any time soon.

Also this week a new study says that the Spike in ER, Hospitalization Use Short-Lived After Medicaid Expansion "While the Medicaid expansion may lead to a dramatic rise in emergency room use and hospitalizations for previously uninsured people, that increase is largely temporary and should not lead to a dramatic impact on state budgets, according to an analysis from the UCLA Center for Health Policy Research released Wednesday."

Kaiser's annual Medicaid report was released:  Implementing the ACA: Medicaid Spending & Enrollment Growth for FY 2014 and FY 2015 (Primary Source).


Medicare
While we're a month away from the Marketplace open-enrollment period, the Medicare one (which ends December 7) has already begin: Once-a-year Medicare open enrollment allows switch in Advantage and drug plans.



Drugs
We haven't talked about Sovaldi for at least a week, well this week it's time for "Son of Sovaldi" as Harvoni, a Hepatitis C Drug From Gilead, Wins F.D.A. Approval. This is a combination pill containing Sovaldi and another drug - previously the patient would have to take other medications along with Sovaldi, now it's a single pill regimen. But the cost issues have not gone away: Will ‘Son of Sovaldi’ Cause State Medicaid Programs to Erect High Hurdles?

And under the category of dog bites man, Texas AG Lawsuit Claims AstraZeneca Improperly Marketed Seroquel. Imagine, a drug company trying to sell its wares for unapproved uses. Shocking...

System Transformation
As much as I would like to ignore it, I feel I have to say something about Ebola. First, it is a tragedy of historic proportions for many of the African countries facing the epidemic. Second, people in the US are crazy and have a lot of other things they should be worrying about instead of worrying about an epidemic here. Think I'm being too harsh?  How about this case of a teacher who had only visited Dallas, had no contact with anyone remotely connected to treating the Ebola patient but was told to stay away from school for 21 days (School teacher in Strong put on 21-day leave over Ebola fears). To call that an overreaction is to give the term overreaction a bad name.

One of the best cases against this kind of behavior came from Sam Shepard of Fox News (yes, I said Fox News). Watch it for yourself:  Fox News' Shepard Smith destroys Ebola fear-mongering in 4 minutes.

What should you be doing instead of worrying about Ebola?  Going out and getting a flu shot:  Ruth Marcus: Actually, flu is the virus you should really be worrying about "If you are worried about contracting Ebola, I have two suggestions. First, stop. Second, get a flu shot."  And finally on this topic a look at Why travel bans will only make the Ebola epidemic worse.

OK, back to our regularly scheduled discussions...

In addition to worrying about the flu, enterovirus 68 may be of some concern.  That's the infection that has been going around the past few months and has unexpectedly resulted in several deaths. There is  now a new test:  Faster lab test will check for rare respiratory virus, which means a surge in confirmed cases is coming. So the stats will go up, but that won't mean the number of cases are increasing.

On the health IT front, a new way to get electronic health records to talk to each other has been recommended - if adopted it would be a great leap forward: EHR interoperability solution offered by key IT panels. Also close to home a Portland group announces ‘historic’ plan to become a health information destination. It's a great goal but I have to admit to being a bit skeptical. That said, I'd love them to be successful.

On a positive note: Breakthrough Replicates Human Brain Cells for Use in Alzheimer’s Research. This will allow for the first time the testing of drugs outside of human subjects with some expectation of being able to gauge their effectiveness. To this point, lab animals have been used before human trials and none of the substances effective in those lab animals has made the transition to being effective in people.

We talked placebos last week - but here's another story reminding us that Placebos Help. Just Ask This Health Economist.

And finally, A palliative care dilemma on the first day of the job. Sometimes figuring out the right answer is hard - a great reminder of why we need to have end-of-life conversations before we need to have end-of-life conversations.



All comments and suggestions are welcome; please let me know what you think. And as always, thanks for reading!

Funded by support from the Maine Health Access Foundation
*The title is a tribute to the BBC show, the NBC show and the amazing Tom Lehrer album "That Was The Year That Was"