Friday, August 8, 2014

That Was The Week That Was - Issue 22

A look back at the week's health policy news with a focus on ACA implementation

This week we saw the first state level estimates of the reduction of the number of uninsured, thoughts on the next open-enrollment period (both re-enrollment and tax issues), Medicaid news, Medicare news, lots of cost news and as always, much more.  So here we go...

ACA: Polls/Opposition
The big data news this week was the release by Gallup of state level estimates of the change in the number of uninsured.  We've seen multiple studies make national estimates, but until now state level data has been hard to come by.  Since most of my readers are in Maine, we'll start there:   Affordable Care Act has lowered Maine’s uninsured rate, poll says.  Some guy quoted in the article said it was both a good and bad story here in Maine, he was right.  We did better than many other states that did not Expand Medicaid - thanks in no small part to the actions of the Maine Health Access Foundation and their grantees.  However the data serves to highlight how much more progress we could have made if we had expanded Medicaid. 

That story was played out across the country:  Arkansas, Kentucky Report Sharpest Drops in Uninsured Rate (Primary Source) both states, and in fact the ten states with the largest point drop in the percentage of uninsured,  did expand Medicaid.  You can see the state by state results graphically represented here: The very real impact of Obamacare opposition, in one map.  And finally, a reminder of What happens when a state tries to make Obamacare work; a case study comparing  KY to MS.

With this data adding to the already overwhelming evidence that the ACA is working, you would think the public would start to be more excepting...  but you would be wrong.  We have another survey showing us that Obamacare Bends the Reality Curve: in other words, your perspective informs your view of the facts, not the other way around (to be fair, this happens at both ends of the political spectrum)  Feeling better and worse about Obamacare (Primary Source).

Although while public perceptions have not appreciable changed, it seems the magnitude of their feeling may have as Obamacare loses some of its campaign punch for Republicans.  The Republicans never did introduce the "replace" part of their repeal and replace strategy and it seems the issue is losing traction on the campaign trail.

ACA: Premiums/Costs
I'm using this section to focus in on premiums and rate review.  But there are also impacts of the ACA on the overall health system cost picture so don't forget about the general cost section below.

A large consulting firm took a look across the country at what the renewal rates are looking like, and no surprise, How Much Is Obamacare Raising Your Insurance Rate? Depends on Which State You Live In.   (You can see the original study here: A preliminary look at 2015 individual market rate filings (Primary Source).)

Before looking at some state specific results, some pieces looking at broader issues.  In this detailed story from CT a look at public rate hearing and the impact they had (or didn't have) on the rate review process: Do public hearings influence what health insurance costs?.  And some thoughts on the overall significance of the rate requests: Decoding 2015 Health Insurance Rate Increase Requests.  And finally, while the ACA allowed a smoker surcharge of up to 50% of the premium, that's not what they paying: Smokers Paying Less For Some Health Plans Than Expected.

Now a look at some state specific results:


ACA: Marketplaces
November and the next open-enrollment period is getting closer every day...  A Health Affairs post looks forward and says An Ounce Of Prevention For The ACA’s Second Open Enrollment.  Meanwhile, more articles highlighting the problems inherent with the auto renewal process set to be used by the marketplace: The Latest Obamacare "Glitch" Isn't a Glitch At All—and It's Democrats' Fault and If You Like Your Obamacare Plan, It'll Cost You. We've discussed this before, but to me the warning can't be repeated enough:  " "I would expect that probably the majority of 2014 enrollees are going to be impacted pretty substantially," said Milliman analyst Paul Houchens."  Individuals who auto renew without updating their financial information and looking at plan choices open themselves up to unpleasant surprises. 


Looking back, while we've heard that millions of subsidy calculations may have been wrong, " A government investigation released Tuesday found that the agency was 100 percent accurate in calculating the maximum monthly subsidy for all requests in the first two weeks of October. "  (O-Care subsidy calculations accurate last October, audit finds).

ACA: Court Cases
No court ruling this week (at least as of Friday morning) but that doesn't mean there isn't anything to talk about on the topic.  Drew Altman latest takes A Closer Look at the Courts’ Impact on Health Policy.


And a few nuggets on the more impactful cases:


ACA: Other
From our friends at the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, here are The Tax Rules That Health Care Assisters Need to Know - and here is the link to the guide:  The Health Care Assister’s Guide to Tax Rules (Primary Source).

Staying on the topic of taxes for a bit, here is a good overview of The Relationship Between Taxes and Health Care: 5 Things You Need to Know.

And here is a CMS presentation reviewing information, including the new tax forms: The Premium Tax Credit.  Please note that 1095a is sent out by the marketplace and will be sent in Jan of 2015 (for the 2014 tax year).  1095b and 1095c will come from insurers and employers - it is not mandatory that they send them out until Jan of 2016 but are "encouraged" to do so in Jan of 2015 (for the 2014 tax year).  So far I've seen no indication as to how many will do so but if I had to guess I would say not many.  Regardless of the 1095s, everyone receiving tax credits will need to complete 8962 when they file their 2014 tax returns.

Taxes are one area that is complicated, but even more fundamental is the use of insurance:   Newly Insured, Many Now Face Learning Curve.

We've written about the situation in Florida where several insurers were using their formularies to discriminate against AIDS patients and others, a look this week at some indications the problem may be more widespread: AIDS patients fear discrimination in ACA exchange.

On the positive side, the firm behind one of the most used credit scores announced that "the latest version of its score would no longer weigh medical debts — which account for about half of all unpaid collections on consumers’ credit reports — as heavily as it did in previous iterations" (Credit Scores Could Rise With FICO’s New Model ).  When and if the new methodology is adopted by FICO's clients it could result in the improvement of many individual's scores.

Some insight what the 19-34 year olds are thinking about health insurance: Findings from the Deloitte 2014 Survey of Young Adults and Health Insurance  (sorry, there's not a single headline result for me to share but for those working with these populations it is a deep look into their attitudes).

VA
Thanks in no small part to our own Congressman Mike Michaud (standing behind the president in the photo), Obama Signs Bill Aimed at Fixing V.A. Shortfalls

Medicaid
A new report from RWJ and the Urban Institute showing (again) how much states are losing by not expanding Medicaid: MAP: Your State Lost Billions by Refusing to Expand Medicaid and What Is the Result of States Not Expanding Medicaid? (Primary Source).

Some states who did expand required premiums from some participants, turns out that was effective in keeping people off the program since premiums for Medicaid and CHIP discourage participation, no matter how small they are:  You Qualify for Medicaid: Don't Sign Up.

And in the state that started the "private option"  and a look at how, one year into a three year waiver, they are trying to change their plan.  Of note (and concern) is the attempt to limit or eliminate the transportation benefit from Medicaid: How Arkansas explains the politics of Obamacare.

Medicare
A First Look At Medicare Quality Incentive Program Finds Little Benefit - what's important to remember is that there is a reason for piloting a program, figuring out if it will work or not.  Often we forget that a negative result can be just as helpful as a positive one.


This next item fits in either this section or the following one devoted to drugs.  The Obscure Drug With a Growing Medicare Tab - there is so much wrong with this situation.  Medicare does not have the authority to limit reimbursement for the drug, even though "...in the absence of such scientific studies, some private health insurance companies, as well as Tricare, the military’s health care program, have curtailed or eliminated spending on Acthar."  Plus, "Several of the top prescribers of Acthar have financial ties to the drug’s maker, Questcor."  And it should come as no surprise that Top Medicare Prescribers for Acthar Have Links to Its Maker.

Drugs
One physician's Adventures in ‘Prior Authorization’.  You won't be shocked to hear that I have lots to say about this.  My reaction can be summed up as don't throw the baby out with the bathwater.  The author clearly had an indisputable case and the process he had to follow was byzantine at best.  That said, many providers don't consider the cost of the prescriptions they writ.  So while we are stuck with the current system, there is still a need for prior authorization.   Seems like I keep coming back to this point week after week, but I won't let that stop me:  Don't blame the policy for poor implementation (filed under don't throw the baby out with the bathwater).  This author has a legitimate problem with the process he had to go through, but that doesn't mean the idea of making sure providers think about the cost of their prescriptions is a bad one.

And now for our weekly Sovaldi installment.  Here is a look at its introduction compared to other drugs - the issue with Sovaldi is that the market is in the "mass market" range but the price is in the "specialty" range - thus its disproportionate impact on medical budgets (and an explanation for the amount of concern it's causing (Why the Price of Sovaldi Is a Shock to the System).  Also a look at Why the Hepatitis Cure Sovaldi Is a Budgetary Disaster for Prisons - reminding us of some of the unique problems inherent in our prison systems and attempting to provide health care to prisoners (not exactly a popular budget item).

Costs
We've talked before about the historic slowdown in health spending.  This week a new study to add to the conversation, this one pointing to the recession as a larger factor: Studies: Thank the recession for the health spending slowdown.  That said their results explains 2008-2011, not what's happened since then.  (Health Spending Slowdown Is Mostly Due To Economic Factors, Not Structural Change In The Health Care Sector (Primary Source))

When it comes to costs, Hospitals And Health Plans See The Future Very Differently.  There is a good reason for that, hospitals tend to look at their total budget while health plans look at per capita spending.  So as second quarter investment results come in from the two groups, you get a very different view of the environment

An entertaining look at heath care economics (yes, it can be entertaining): Employer-Based Health Insurance 'Cheaper' Than Government-Sponsored Insurance? Say What?  "Every so often in punditry land there appears a column so egregiously flawed that it makes a perfect platform for a homework assignment in undergraduate health-economics courses.  ...  So we must thank Sally Pipes for contributing to pedagogy a veritable jewel along these lines in her July 28 Forbes article, entitled “Employer Health Insurance: A Bargain Compared to Government-Sponsored Coverage.”"


Some focus on transparency this week.  First a look at a study that showed When health care prices stop being hidden, and start getting real.  Also, one health system asks itself the question Exactly How Much DOES That Appendectomy Cost?   Often the system itself doesn't know the answer (note that I've just switched from price to cost, both areas where transparency is important).-The are marshaling their data to produce a comprehensive costing too. 

Taking comparison shopping in health care to a whole new level:  Like Priceline for patients: Doctors compete for business via online bids for surgery.  But if that's not for you, here is The secret to negotiating a lower medical bill.

More evidence that there truly is no relationship in health care between price and quality, this time from the team that used to think there was one: "Doyle 2 found "no association between total one-year spending and patient outcomes.”"  (Expensive Hospitals Aren't Any Better).

And always worth remembering that while we talk a lot about system reform (as we should) the single biggest reason we spend so much more in this country than anywhere else is we allow the prices of health care services to go unchecked. Look at these charts and think of what could be done with the money saved. And remember, our quality is no better (and often worse) than other countries:  Our health spending problem is all about prices.

System Transformation
In this section we talk about system transformation.  This week let's look back and Watch America transform from making things to taking care of people.  The change shown is not inherently good or bad - but it's important to keep in mind as we work to stir things up.  I can say (until I'm blue in the face) that health care is not a jobs program, but for many it has become just that.  As we work to reduce costs there will be disruptions that need to be taken into account.

And speaking of disruptions, lots on the workforce front this week:

How do we integrate care from different providers?  Of course one way is through electronic health records and data exchanges to share that information.  Here in Maine we have HealthInfoNet.  In CA Insurance giants creating massive database of patient records  to facilitate the process.  

Note the difference between a data exchange and a health record - the exchange (the item above) makes sure that information on any one record contains information from different providers.  That's complicated by the fact that there are many different systems out there.  This week RWJ released their annual review focusing on the implementation of electronic health records:  Health Information Technology in the United States Progress and Challenges Ahead, 2014 (Primary Source).  You can read a brief account of the report here: Electronic health records were supposed to be everywhere this year. They’re not — but it’s okay. 

Electronic records hold the promise of helping improve care and lower costs, but they have their dangers as we hear in The disturbing confessions of a medical scribe it seems they can make fraud easier- only a click away...

Several not so good transformation stories this week:

A reminder that Vitamins are not magic. We need good science and better sense. (Or as Sheldon would put it, vitamins are sometimes a way to make expensive urine.

Thoughts on the importance of communication (and listening).  Starting with The first-year medical student and the 114-year-old patient.  Followed by A physician responds to OpenNotes critics (why there is no downside to full transparency with your patients).  And finally the presentation and replay information from a great webinar held this week by our friends at Quality Counts.  The topic is Shared Decision Making, the speaker is excellent and it's an interesting (and important) topic.

We'll end this week with one man's guess as to how all this change plays out - his vision sounds good to me, now we just have to get there:   Health care at half the cost: What will that actually look like? -


All comments and suggestions are welcome; please let me know what you think.  And as always, thanks for reading!

Funded by support from the Maine Health Access Foundation

*The title is a tribute to the BBC show, the NBC show and the amazing Tom Lehrer album "That Was The Year That Was"